Our PSL prediction for AS FAR vs Mamelodi Sundowns at Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium, Rabat. Tip: Mamelodi Sundowns to qualify (aggregate) at 1.55 (62% confidence). Odds correct at time of writing. T&Cs apply. 18+ only.
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The biggest fixture in South African club football in years arrives on Saturday, 24 May 2026, 21:00 SAST at the Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium in Rabat. Mamelodi Sundowns travel to Morocco with a 1-0 aggregate lead over AS FAR after Aubrey Modiba's late first-half free-kick at Loftus Versfeld in the first leg on 17 May. Win, draw or lose by a single goal — Sundowns are 90 minutes away from a second TotalEnergies CAF Champions League title and a second continental crown for South Africa.
This is the most-traded match in the SA market this week. Pre-match, the "Sundowns to qualify" line sits at ~1.55 across Hollywoodbets, Betway SA and SuperSportBet — the bookmakers' implied probability is around 64% that Masandawana hold the advantage and lift the trophy.
Mamelodi Sundowns finished the 2025/26 Betway Premiership season as champions on 68 points — yet another comfortable title, secured weeks before the run-in. In Africa, Sundowns have followed an almost flawless route to the final: top of their group, then knockout wins built on the kind of controlled, possession-heavy football coach Miguel Cardoso has insisted on all season. The first leg against AS FAR was vintage Cardoso — Sundowns dominated possession, found the breakthrough through a Modiba set-piece, and absorbed late Moroccan pressure without conceding.
AS FAR are Morocco's oldest professional club and the side that lifted the 1985 African Cup of Champions Clubs. The current squad — heavy on Moroccan internationals, with experienced North African coaching — produced one of the toughest first-leg performances Sundowns have faced this campaign. They lost 0-1, but on chances and territorial pressure the match was closer than the scoreline suggests. At home in Rabat, AS FAR's record in continental knockout football is excellent.
For Sundowns, the biggest positive is the return of Grant Kekana from suspension — adds an extra option in central defence for the second leg. Aubrey Modiba (free-kick goal in the first leg), Iqraam Rayners (PSL top scorer for Sundowns this season with 12 goals), Lucas Ribeiro Costa and Brayan León all give Miguel Cardoso multiple attacking options. Goalkeeper Denis Onyango has been the settled pick across the CAF run.
Cardoso has been emphatic in the build-up: "We will fight to make the one goal advantage enough… but we are not going to park the bus. We will attack within limits." The likely shape is the same 4-3-3 with high full-backs that produced the first-leg result, with possible rotation in midfield to bring in Themba Zwane for late game-management.
For AS FAR, the home crowd is the headline factor. Their preferred 4-2-3-1 funnels attacks through a central creator and a target striker; expect long early pressure to chase the away goal.
This is only the second-ever meeting between the two clubs at senior level — both in the 2025/26 final. The Loftus first leg is the only data point. Beyond that, Sundowns vs Moroccan opposition in CAF Champions League knockout football has produced mixed but generally competitive results — historically a Sundowns banker against North African opposition has never existed.
The cleanest single-bet angle on this fixture is the "To Qualify" market on Mamelodi Sundowns at ~1.55. The rationale:
For a punchier price, Sundowns Draw No Bet sits around 2.05–2.15 at Hollywoodbets and Betway SA. The Sundowns straight-2 win price is 3.30, reflecting the bookmaker assumption that AS FAR will score at least once — historically a fair read.
For a defensive variance play, Under 2.5 goals @ ~1.70 is the secondary recommendation. Both legs of last year's CAF final were tight; both managers will lean cautious; and the away-goals rule actively discourages AS FAR from leaving gaps once the score is level.
| Market | Hollywoodbets | Betway SA | SuperSportBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS FAR to win (1) | 2.15 | 2.20 | 2.10 |
| Draw (X) | 3.05 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Sundowns to win (2) | 3.30 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
| Sundowns to qualify | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| AS FAR to qualify | 2.35 | 2.40 | 2.30 |
| Both teams to score — Yes | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.72 | 1.68 |
Snapshot taken 20 May 2026 from each operator's pre-match Champions League final page. Lines move quickly on team news — confirm before placing serious stake.
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What time does AS FAR vs Mamelodi Sundowns kick off? 21:00 SAST on Saturday, 24 May 2026 (20:00 Moroccan time, 19:00 GMT) at Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium, Rabat.
What is the aggregate score going into the second leg? Mamelodi Sundowns lead 1-0 after Aubrey Modiba's first-leg free-kick at Loftus Versfeld on 17 May 2026.
What happens if the aggregate is level after 90 minutes? The away goals rule applies. Per CAF's rules for this season's final, extra time is not played if scores are level after the away-goals tiebreak — the match goes straight to a penalty shoot-out.
What is the best bet on this match? Our recommended tip is Mamelodi Sundowns to qualify @ ~1.55. Under 2.5 goals @ ~1.70 is the secondary play. 18+ only.
Where can I watch Mamelodi Sundowns vs AS FAR in South Africa? SuperSport broadcasts the CAF Champions League final live. Live in-play markets are available at Hollywoodbets, Betway South Africa and SuperSportBet.
Odds correct at time of writing (snapshot 20 May 2026). T&Cs apply. 18+ only. Gambling involves financial risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. All bookmakers listed are licensed by the National Gambling Board or a provincial gambling authority. If gambling is no longer fun, contact the National Responsible Gambling helpline on 0800 006 008 or SMS HELP to 076 675 0710.
Our tip is Mamelodi Sundowns to qualify (aggregate) at 1.55 with 62% confidence. This is our opinion, not a guarantee — bet within your limits, 18+ only.
Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 21:00 SAST at Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium, Rabat.
Latest snapshot — AS FAR 2.15 · Draw 3.05 · Mamelodi Sundowns 3.30. Odds correct at time of writing, T&Cs apply.
Any NGB-licensed bookmaker prices this PSL fixture. We recommend Hollywoodbets and Betway South Africa for ZAR markets — links to both are in the bookmakers section. 18+ only.
Odds correct at time of writing. T&Cs apply. 18+ only. This is our opinion, not financial advice.